As with the previous races this season, it comes down to whether you think Nico Rosberg or Lewis Hamilton will win. We have already seen this season that this car is not bulletproof but, barring any technical difficulties, it is hard to look past the Silver Arrows duo.
You can get Hamilton to win at 1/4 or Rosberg at 3/1. If you just can’t decide, then you can get 1/50 for either of the Mercedes cars to win.
If these prices are too short for you, then the race winning margin may suit you better. Both over and under 10.5 seconds to be the winning margin are priced at 5/6. Hamilton and Rosberg have been extremely close this weekend on both qualifying and long run pace so I would probably champion the under 10.5 margin this time.
The standout performance from qualifying must have been Romain Grosjean. No-one expected to see him in Q3 but he made it and managed to stick the car in fifth place, ahead of both Ferrari drivers.
A podium may be a stretch too far on this occasion, priced at 12/1, but if you think that Grosjean will score some points then you can get this at 4/7.
Sebastian Vettel has not had the greatest of weekends. A change of chassis ahead of the weekend doesn’t appear to have improved his pace and, thanks to a gearbox change overnight, he will now start from 15th.
This further bad luck could cause one of two reactions. One, he could drive a blinding race and challenge Daniel Ricciardo towards the end of the race or, two, he will get frustrated as he attempts to get through the pack and will have an accident.
You can get Vettel not to be classified at 3/1 and Vettel to finish in the top six at 10/11.
Valteri Bottas has been the nearly man so far this year. He arguably should have been on the podium in Australia and, starting from fourth in Spain, he has a great chance to finally break his duck. The Mercedes duo and Ricciardo start ahead of him but, at the scene of Williams’ last victory, can he do it? The price for a podium finish is 7/2.
Mercedes win – 1/50
Bottas to finish in the points – 1/4
Ricciardo to finish in the points – 1/6
Worth a punt
Rosberg to win – 3/1
Vettel not to be classified – 3/1
Bottas podium finish – 7/2
Images courtesy of Octane Photographic.